NAM model forecast lows tonight

A frontal boundary near the area today provided a cloudy, dreary, and showery scene throughout much of the morning and afternoon. Showers developed late this morning to our west, and moved eastward over our area. Although not steady, heavy, or persistent, they were enough to provide a light measurable rainfall to most of the area. Streets were wet throughout much of the afternoon. However, there have been improvements this afternoon and evening as the front shifts east. Clearing skies and breaks in the clouds are spreading throughout the area and should continue to do so through tonight. We have a weak area of higher pressure to thank, and through the evening it appears that we will be able to avoid any additional showery activity. The same will not be true for the rest of the week, though, so we encourage you to enjoy it while you can! Temperatures tonight are falling into the upper 50's to low 60's, not as cool as the past several nights.

THE FORECAST...

Through Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low near 60 in the city. Lows in the 50's inland and nearer to the shore. Winds south at 5 to 10 miles per hour. Long sleeves most likely a good decision, but you could get away with shorts if you're in a warmer area.

Wednesday: Warmer, and partly cloudy early, then becoming mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. High near 78. South winds 5 to 10 miles per hour. Short sleeves are a good idea, for the first time in a while. It'll feel warmer than the past several days.

SUMMER 2011 RECAP & MORE...

You can view our Summer 2011 | By the numbers recap, and also take a look at our post detailing the near 10 year low in sea ice extent this past week. Both posts are featured links at the top of the blog. We appreciate your comments and discussion, and look forward to interacting with you.


Article written by John Homenuk. Published September 20th, 2011 at 7:02pm. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for current work week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook. 

NAM forecast cloud cover at 2pm Tuesday

The pleasant and sunny weather which marked Monday as a beautiful day is on the way out, and Tuesday is likely to provide more clouds than sun. The potential for showers will also exist, especially in the morning. Although moderate to heavy rain is not expected, nor are any prolonged periods of steady rain, the weather generally will have taken a downhill turn since the first day of the week. The clouds and showers are entering our area in response to a warm frontal boundary, which is moving in our direction from the Ohio Valley. Disturbances in the mid levels of the atmosphere, although small, near the front will be suffice to cause the clouds and showers. There is the potential for sun to break out by the afternoon hours as the warm front passes  the area, with winds turning to the southwest by around 2pm. We'll generally call it a mostly cloudy forecast, though,  with scattered showers likely in the morning and potentially the first half of the afternoon...with high temperatures only area forecast to get into the middle 60's.

THE FORECAST...

Today (Tuesday): Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers. Some clearing is possible by the late afternoon and early evening. High temperatures in the middle 60's throughout most of the area, slightly cooler inland. East winds turning southwest later in the day.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with low temperatures near 60 in the metro, and in the upper 50's in the interior. South winds should be light to around 5 miles per hour. A slight chance of a scattered shower.

SUMMER 2011 RECAP & MORE...

You can view our Summer 2011 | By the numbers recap, and also take a look at our post detailing the near 10 year low in sea ice extent this past week. Both posts are featured links at the top of the blog. We appreciate your comments and discussion, and look forward to interacting with you.

Article written by John Homenuk. Published September 20th, 2011 at 12:20am. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for current work week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.