The 5th warmest November on record in New York City now a memory, December began with a much cooler airmass in place behind a cold front. The next few days will offer much of the same, as clear skies and full sun will only be able to produce highs near 50 on both Friday and Saturday. This is thanks to a Canadian high pressure which is built in over the area. The cold air comes as a drastic change from the last week of November, which offered record setting highs. Temperatures will rebound a bit on Sunday as a ridge builds in the mid-levels of the atmosphere and the airmass over the area modifies. Without any new cold air source, it is expected that temperatures will rise each day as we work towards the new week. Winds will still be a bit breezy on Friday, but not as strong as Wednesday or Thursday. Overnight lows will still drop into the 20's and 30's until Saturday Night, when they will start trending a bit warmer. Pictured right: The NAM Model showing high pressure built in over the area this weekend.


Today (Friday): Sunny, with a high near 53. West winds between 10 and 15 miles per hour.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. North winds between 5 and 10 miles per hour.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 49. North winds around 10 miles per hour.

Sunday: Mostly sunny and milder, with a high near 56. Overnight low near 44.


Meteorological winter began yesterday, December 1st 2011. If you're like us, this usually means exciting and challenging times are ahead as snowstorms and associated systems are closer to impacting the forecast area. This can be one of the most humbling times of the year for a weather forecaster. Our latest Technical Featured Discussion details our thoughts on the first two to three weeks of the meteorological winter, leading us towards the holiday weekend. Check it out by clicking here, and leave us a reply to let us know what you think!

Article written by JH. Published December 2nd, 2011 at 12:15am. Looking for a forecast? Use our new Forecast Beta tool to see the latest forecast in your specific area for the upcoming weekend, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.  

NAM model showing temps into the 60's on Sunday.

The weather over the past several days has been generally unpredictable, in a sense, as temperatures have fluctuated fairly dramatically. Just over a week ago, and even as recently as early this past week, temperatures were in the 60's which is well above average. A cold front moved through prior to Friday, and a new cold Canadian airmass moved in. Friday was blustery and chilly with high temperatures barely reaching out of the 40's in some spots. However, the pattern that is dominating our areas weather is best defined as "transient". Essentially, the flow of the mid and upper levels and the dominant jet stream pattern is so fast that no specific weather can really become established. If the weather in general was to lean in one direction, it would be above average temperature wise and below average precipitation wise. Yet, we've seen our fair share of cold air shots and they will likely become more numerous over the past few weeks (winter is coming, after all). This weekend should feature a chilly start on Saturday, followed by moderating temperatures by Sunday and Monday. Clouds are then expected to increase Tuesday and Wednesday as a storm system approaches from the southwest. There may be a chance for some frozen precipitation in the higher elevations north and west, but it should be spotty. Most areas should expect the potential for a chilly rain. Sorry, we wish we had better news!


Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. Breezy west winds, but not as cool as Friday. Sun will still feel warm in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Overnight low near 46. Not as cold as Thursday or Friday night, but still chilly.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. A good ten degrees warmer than Saturday, so it will feel plenty warm out there. A beautiful day for sure.

Sunday Night: Increasing clouds, with an overnight low near 47.

Article written by JH. Published November 19th, 2011 at 1:04am. Looking for a forecast? Use our new Forecast Beta tool to see the latest forecast in your specific area for the weekend, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.  

NAM model showing high pressure dominating the weather into the weekend.

High pressure building into the forecast area will be the main story through the the middle of next week, and to be honest we couldn't ask for a better forecast through the entire period. Although the airmass will still be cool to start the weekend on Saturday, we have a lot to look forward to. A large ridge in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere will develop over the Central and Eastern United States by Sunday through Wednesday, bringing us fair weather. Plenty of sun, light winds, and splendidy crisp autumn evenings will almost make the weather a non-factor throughout the next several days. Additionally, the airmass will modify with time (it's coming from Canada, but it's warming as it gets here)...meaning high temperatures should slowly climb from the lower 50's on Saturday, to near 60 on Monday, to possibly the mid to upper 60's on Wednesday. The one thing working against us is the fact that we lose an hour of daylight beginning Sunday Night, when we turn the clocks back one hour. Winter is coming, there's no doubt about that, so we're excited to enjoy the next several days of beautifully comfortably weather that this pattern has to offer.



THE FORECAST...

Today (Sunday): Sunny, high's in the lower to mid 50's. Still pretty cool, with light northwest winds. Highs could stay in the 40's over the interior and higher elevations.

Tonight: Mostly clear, with lows dropping into the 20's and 30's once again inland, but the upper 30's to low 40's in the city and metro area. This will begin a trend of slightly warmer nights continuing into next week.

Article written by JH. Published November 5th, 2011 at 1:36am. Updated November 6th, 11:42am.  Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the weekend into next week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.