The last few days have offered very little hope for those wishing to see the warm summer sun, but the good news is that the stretch of poor weather is nearly over. The low pressure system responsible for the relentless rain and overcast skies is slowly shifting eastward away from the area, and will begin to lose it's grip by Tuesday. Some scattered showers and thunderstorms may still develop during the afternoon hours, but the rain will not be as widespread or steady--and most importantly, won't be around for the entire day. The system is then forecast to shift east by Tuesday night--leaving our area with mostly clear skies, and a pleasant forecast for the end of the week. Temperatures should rebound towards normal by Wednesday and Thursday. Featured video: Video forecast discussion for August 16th, 2011, detailing the day in weather and the specific threats for potential thunderstorms and heavy rain. Courtesy of the forecasting team.

Forecast in Detail: Tuesday morning will likely offer a chance of some breaks in the clouds and the potential for some sun. The sun will be in and out, though, and not consistently bright. By afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop bringing the chance for heavy rain, lightning, and thunder. The evening is expected to bring gradual clearing, with the storm system shifting east. High temperatures will be warmer than the past few days, reaching towards 80 degrees in the afternoon. We'll drop into the 60's again overnight into Tuesday morning, though, as a slightly cooler and noticeably calmer airmass settles in.

A Look Ahead: The middle to end of the week looks to offer a return to more pleasant weather, with high temperatures averaging near normal on Wednesday and Thursday. The next chance of rain will rear it's head on Thursday afternoon and Friday, when a frontal boundary near the region could very well spark off showers and thunderstorms. The storms could be more widespread on Friday, offering a chance for more rainfall.

Article written August 16th, 2011 at 12:30am. . Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the upcoming week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.

The low pressure system responsible for the prolific rainfall observed in the area on Sunday will still be meandering around the forecast area Monday, bringing with it a chance of showers and thunderstorms which could be widespread at times. The rainfall on Sunday was as historic as it was relentless, with Kennedy Airport in Queens observing a new all time record for daily rainfall (7.76 inches), breaking the old record set in 1983. Several reporting stations throughout the metro recorded rainfall totals in excess of 6 inches. Some personal weather stations in Long Island (Nassau County) recorded rainfall amounts over 10 inches by late Sunday evening, with the rain still continuing to fall at a moderate to heavy pace over much of Long Island, Southeast New York, and portions of Connecticut. The rain is forecast to continue on and off through Monday afternoon, although the more steady precipitation may actually be focused east of the city. Featured video: Video Forecast Discussion for Monday August 15th, 2011, from the forecasting team.

Forecast in Detail: The rain will continue to be a threat throughout Monday as the surface low pressure system passes east of the region. Although not as widespread or relentless as Sunday, the showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing moderate to occasionally heavy rain, which could cause rapid street flooding, especially to areas already flooded or moistened by the heavy rains on Sunday. By Monday Night, the precipitation should become much more spotty, with a few showers meandering around the area.

Tuesday is forecast to feature a welcomed return to dry conditions, with the sun finally returning to the forecast and high temperatures crawling back into the low 80's. Winds will be light and out of the west.  

A Look Ahead: The middle to end of the week looks to offer a return to more pleasant weather, with high temperatures averaging near normal on Wednesday and Thursday, and only a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm. The next chance of precipitation looks to come on Friday with the passage of a cold front.

Article written August 15th, 2011 at 12:10am. . Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the upcoming week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.

A low pressure system developing near the area has become the focal point for very heavy rain, which continues to affect the area this Sunday morning. Through 800am, prolific rainfall amounts were already recorded throughout much of the forecast area. Kennedy Airport recorded 5.61 inches of rainfall, LaGuardia airport recorded 3.88 inches of rainfall, Newark airport recorded 3.27 inches of rainfall, and Central Park recorded 3.20 inches of rainfall. With the rain continuing over the next several hours, these rainfall totals could become quite prolific throughout the remainder of the day. Please remember that flooding is a serious severe weather event. The National Weather Service has issued Flash Flood Warnings for a vast majority of the forecast area including much of New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania. Featured video: Severe Weather Briefing from August 14th, 2011, issued by New York Metro Weather's forecasting team.


Forecast in Detail: The rain will continue through the remainder of today, without many serious breaks in the action. The low pressure system is forecast to consolidate off the coast, likely leading to a well developed area of moderate precipitation expanding over the area. While the area has not had the luxury of a normal precipitation summer (many areas below normal through today), these type of rain events are almost always a problem, especially as flooding potential develops as the rain continues for extended periods of time. Plus, the weekend timing is less than ideal.

Monday should feature, at least to start, more of the same although the showers could become a bit more spotty over Long Island. The rain could continue over New Jersey and New York through the mid to late afternoon. After that, model guidance begins to wrap up the event with precipitation ending from southwest to northeast.

A Look Ahead: The middle to end of the week looks to offer a return to more pleasant weather, with high temperatures averaging near normal on Tuesday and Wednesday, and only a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm. The next chance of precipitation looks to come on Friday with the passage of a cold front.

Article written August 14th, 2011 at 11:10am. Updated at 1:53pm to include severe weather briefing video. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the weekend into next week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.