Well, today turned out a lot nicer than previously forecasted. High Pressure was a little slow to move Eastward out of the region, and this prevented heavier rains from moving into the region, as the available moisture/lift "overran" the high pressure and stayed across PA/Upstate New York. Tonight and into tomorrow, cold front over the great lakes will continue its slow progression towards the region as chances for showers/thunderstorms will increase. Wind fields are slightly supportive of some damaging wind gusts if some updrafts can shoot up, but this doesn't seem likely at this point.

Models continue to show very poor consistency and agreement on a late week system. What we do know is that a cold front will pass the area Tuesday Night/Wednesday. Some models develop a wave of low pressure and move it northeast while deepening, and providing the area with heavy rainfall. Others are all over the place..some further east, some further west. Everything is really in dissaray right now with this forecast, so wont go into much detail at this point. For instance, left is tonights 18z GFS, which absolutely wallops the area with heavy rainfall (60 hr QPF to 90 hrs)

Either way, its safe to leave off with a few facts. It will likely be dreary tomorrow and the beginning of Wednesday, and theres a good chance this weekend could be a washout. Stay tuned.