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GFS Model showing the pressure gradient
over our area on Sunday, with a high to our
south and low to our north. 
The last few weeks have certainly been up and down to say the least. A brief recap would bring up topics  such as unseasonable heat, with records being broken. Or maybe even an all time record for precipitation in the past month. If you dig deeper, you could find the very cool nights we had over three weeks ago where some areas reached as low as the middle 30's in the interior. Still, autumn has a way of balancing most things out and even in the most dramatic swings in sensible weather, there are days when things seem just right. Sunday should be one of those days. A high pressure will remain in control, as the low pressure over Eastern Canada moves farther north away from the area. This low pressure was partially responsible for the very strong fair-weather winds we experienced on Saturday, as it's lowering pressure combined with the building high pressure created a gradient over our area and provided a good setup for strong wind gusts. The winds could still be breezy on Sunday, but will certainly be less of an issue than they were on Saturday. High temperatures on Sunday are expected to top out in the middle 60's, with some clouds moving in later in the evening. 

All eyes on the middle of the week: Looking ahead to the work week, the chance for some scattered showers exists on Monday and early Tuesday. However, the real story could be the middle of the week, as a extremely large disturbance in the atmosphere develops over the Central US and moves eastward, forcing the development of a strong surface low. Forecast models are a bit inconsistent, so it's too early to tell exactly when or where the heaviest precipitation could fall, but the potential exists for a widespread moderate to heavy rain event on Wednesday throughout the area. We will keep you posted!

THE FORECAST...

Today (Sunday): Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Breezy, with west winds 10 to 20 miles per hour. Gusts may briefly reach near 35 miles per hour during the afternoon. Definitely bring along a sweatshirt or a light jacket, but the sun will still feel warm during the afternoon hours.

Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a chance of a scattered sprinkle overnight. Lows in the middle 50's, with west winds around 5 miles per hour. 

Article written by JH. Published October 16th, 2011 at 1:46am. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the weekend and the upcoming work week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.  
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