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Wednesday Forecast: Periodic rain continues

By John
Published on 12:00 AM at , , , , ,
Current radar image from wxunderground
shows the movement and intensity
of precipitation over the last hour.
Click to enlarge.
A frontal boundary stalled near the area interacting with both the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee and a disturbance near the Great Lakes has been the focus for heavy rainfall over the past several hours. In fact, much of Tuesday was characterized by continuous rain throughout the forecast area. Flood Warnings remain in effect for much of the area through Wednesday morning (and will expire by afternoon). The good news for Wednesday is that the heaviest of rain should move back to the north and west of the area; and will be situated over Central and Northeastern Pennsylvania and Central and Southeast New York by Wednesday afternoon. A ridge in the middle of the atmosphere will flex it's muscles a bit by Wednesday afternoon, allowing for a bit of a rebound from the damp, overcast, and dreary weather. Although clouds will stick around and dominate the skies for the most part, they will definitely be less thick when compared to Tuesday as the middle of the atmosphere will be drier. The chance of showers will be high, but the rain as mentioned will not be as steady and continuous. Overall, though, Wednesday will definitely be defined as another dreary day when compared to our "normal" weather for this time of year.


THE FORECAST...
Today (Wednesday): Cloudy, with showers likely throughout the day. The rain won't be steady at all times throughout the day, but the showers could be heavy at times. High temperatures may crack 70, a few degrees warmer than Tuesday. Winds east at 10 to 15 miles per hour, keeping the air feeling generally raw. Chance of precipitation is near 100 percent. Definitely bring a long sleeved shirt, sweatshirt, and rain gear once again.
Tonight (Wednesday Night): Cloudy once again with showers remaining likely. Again, not steady, but the showers could be heavy at times. Low temperatures into the low to mid 60's. Long-sleeved and sweatshirt/rain attire would be a good idea (again). 


TROPICS UPDATE...


Tropical model guidance for Tropical Depression #14
from Wednesday Morning (9/7/2011)
Tropical Depression #14 officially formed Tuesday afternoon over the Central Atlantic Ocean. With maximum sustained winds of 35 miles per hour at the 11:00pm National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory from Tuesday Night, the depression is forecast to continue on a North and West heading over the next several days. The storm is still several (at the very least) days away from impacting any United States soil, and the weather pattern which will surround the storm when it approaches the area remains highly uncertain. Therefore, it is well too early to speculate where the Tropical Depression may track. What we do know is that it is forecast to move just north of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic by this weekend, and we will be watching it very carefully over the next several days. 


Hurricane Katia remains a strong hurricane today with winds sustained at 105 miles per hour. Katia is still expected to remain a few hundred miles out to sea, but her impacts may be felt at the area beaches with some higher surf, and the potential for rip tides and light beach erosion. Those impacts would be felt Thursday through Friday when the storm makes her closest pass to the area. Wave height models are currently indicating maximum wave potential near 9 feet for a few hours along the Jersey Shore and the east end of Long Island. These heights should be isolated, but would be interesting to see to say the least. We'll keep you updated on her movement and intensity as she continues her movement across the Atlantic ocean during the early to middle part of this week. 


Article written September 7th, 2011 at 12:02am. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the current work week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.
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