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Current radar image from wxunderground shows
 themovement and intensity of precipitation
over the last hour. Click to enlarge.
Heavy rain, spreading throughout the entire area, is the story for the remainder of the evening without any doubt. A frontal boundary stalled near the area, and the interactions between the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee and a disturbance near the Great Lakes will prove to be the focal points for the heavy rain over the next several hours. Although the rain is forecast to lift north and west of the area with time, the next few hours could be an all out deluge as the rain has already been in progress for several hours. The National Weather Service continues Flood Warnings for many parts of the forecast area through Wednesday morning. The rain is heaviest over the city and just to the west of there over Central and Northern New Jersey. The areas that seem to be escaping the heaviest rain are the New Jersey shore and the East end of Long Island. Over the next several hours, expected continued poor conditions over those areas--and the rain eventually beginning to push north and west towards Northwest New Jersey, Southeast New York, and Northeast Pennsylvania. Rain amounts could easily exceed 2 to 3 inches in much of the area west of New York City. Temperatures will run in the lower 60's through the evening, and east winds will make it feel raw outside.

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THE FORECAST...

Through Tonight (Tuesday Night): Washout, deluge, heavy rain, potential street flooding. Low temperatures dropping towards 60 degrees overnight. Suggested attire would be long sleeves, jeans, sweatshirts, umbrellas, and rain coats. East winds near 10 miles per hour will make it feel raw.

Tomorrow (Wednesday): The rain should become lighter and less expansive in coverage by Wednesday afternoon, but the morning could still prove to be raw and wet. Temperatures will top out in the upper 60's to near 70 once again, maybe a hair warmer if we can dry out by afternoon. Winds once again east, though, so it won't feel too much better. The rain will become more showery with time as opposed to Tuesday's periodic to continuous heavy rain. 



TROPICAL UPDATE...
National Hurricane Center's forecast track for TD #14
issued at 5:00pm 9/6/2011
Tropical Depression #14 officially formed this afternoon over the Central Atlantic Ocean. With maximum sustained winds of 35 miles per hour, the depression is forecast to continue on a North and West heading over the next several days. The storm is still several (at the very least) days away from impacting any United States soil, and the weather pattern which will surround the storm when it approaches the area remains highly uncertain. Therefore, it is well too early to speculate where the Tropical Depression may track. What we do know is that it is forecast to move just north of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic by this weekend, and we will be watching it very carefully over the next several days. 

Hurricane Katia remains a strong hurricane this evening with winds sustained at 105 miles per hour. Katia is still expected to remain a few hundred miles out to sea, but her impacts may be felt at the area beaches with some higher surf, and the potential for rip tides and light beach erosion. Those impacts would be felt Thursday through Friday when the storm makes her closest pass to the area. We'll keep you updated on her movement and intensity as she continues her movement across the Atlantic ocean during the early to middle part of this week. 


Article written September 6th, 2011 at 6:35pm. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the current work week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.
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