Wintery Weather Likely Tonight and Tomorrow...
...First Bout of real wintery weather is expected tonight and tomorrow in and around the New York City Area, as a low pressure system moves off the MA Coast. Snow should spread into the area early tomorrow morning. Temperatures support snow in all areas at least 3/4 of the way through the event. Late Tomorrow morning, as the snow is exiting, coastal areas and slightly inland areas are expected to change over to a mix of precipitation, while areas North and West will stay snow through the entire event. Amounts should range from a dusting to an inch along the immediate coast, 2-3 inches just inland, and 3-5 inches well inland in the NorthWest sector of our area..
...Things get much more complicated twoards Sunday Night and through Tuesday for our area. Despite models coming into what some call a sort of "Agreement" with the track, confidence is still low here. 06z and 12z models slowly trended back to the coastal storm, and away from last nights extreme supression solution, which I never bought in the first place. Though Confidence is still fairly low, i must say that it is building here with the ECMWF agreement of the GFS. Also have taken into account that the MM5, UKMET, and GGEM all support the same solution. NAM is the outlier right now, but in the last SE trend, NAM was the first to go south also. Even as we are this close to the event, I am hesitant, and will not give out totals. However, I will include Snow likely in the forecast for NYC Monday Night and Tuesday. Will change that if the 00z models go back to surpression.
Overall it is looking like the first moderate to significant snowfall event may impact the area Monday Night and Tuesday. Look for an audio post tonight with a bit more detailed discussion.
-earthlight
...First Bout of real wintery weather is expected tonight and tomorrow in and around the New York City Area, as a low pressure system moves off the MA Coast. Snow should spread into the area early tomorrow morning. Temperatures support snow in all areas at least 3/4 of the way through the event. Late Tomorrow morning, as the snow is exiting, coastal areas and slightly inland areas are expected to change over to a mix of precipitation, while areas North and West will stay snow through the entire event. Amounts should range from a dusting to an inch along the immediate coast, 2-3 inches just inland, and 3-5 inches well inland in the NorthWest sector of our area..
...Things get much more complicated twoards Sunday Night and through Tuesday for our area. Despite models coming into what some call a sort of "Agreement" with the track, confidence is still low here. 06z and 12z models slowly trended back to the coastal storm, and away from last nights extreme supression solution, which I never bought in the first place. Though Confidence is still fairly low, i must say that it is building here with the ECMWF agreement of the GFS. Also have taken into account that the MM5, UKMET, and GGEM all support the same solution. NAM is the outlier right now, but in the last SE trend, NAM was the first to go south also. Even as we are this close to the event, I am hesitant, and will not give out totals. However, I will include Snow likely in the forecast for NYC Monday Night and Tuesday. Will change that if the 00z models go back to surpression.
Overall it is looking like the first moderate to significant snowfall event may impact the area Monday Night and Tuesday. Look for an audio post tonight with a bit more detailed discussion.
-earthlight
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