If you were hoping for a calm weather pattern this week, we can't offer much good news for you. Granted, this pattern won't provide us with tons of precipitation and terrible weather, but there will certainly be a lot going on around us as an active weather pattern settles in. High pressure over the area will control the weather on Monday as a storm system approaches from the west. This will be a relatively weak disturbance, which will pass to our south Monday Night. There is the chance for some light snow showers with this system (or possibly even rain showers near the immediate coast), but most forecast models have backed off on any potential precipitation. Still, we can't rule out a period of light rain or snow Monday Night into Tuesday morning. This system moves out of the picture, but clouds will be increasing again by Wednesday as a stronger storm approaches from the southwest. This system will get scooped up by an approaching disturbance, phase with it, and force the development of a new storm off the coast. Pictured right: GFS model showing precipitation to the south of the area Monday Night into Tuesday morning.

Cold air will not be in place prior to the storm, so seeing snow is highly unlikely throughout most of the area, but there is the potential for some snow to begin the storm system across the far interior and northern locations...specifically the NW Hills of New Jersey, Southeast New York, and Litchfield Connecticut. For the rest of the area, a period of moderate to heavy cold rain on Thursday morning. We will certainly keep you updated on both of these systems during the week -- and we'll get a better idea on the exact effects of the stronger  mid-week system as we move forward. Stick with us!

THE FORECAST AT A GLANCE... (or see the overview)

Today (Monday): Partly sunny, with a high near 43. A light breeze, becoming a south wind at 5 to 10 miles per hour. Feeling pretty chilly compared to the weekend weather.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a chance of light snow or flurries (flurries or drizzle near the coast). Low near 35, with a southwest wind around 5 miles per hour. No accumulations expected, but even a flake of snow is exciting considering the trends so far this winter.


Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high around 45.  West wind between 8 and 14 miles per hour. A bit breezy, still chilly, no precipitation to speak of. Not a bad day.

Article written by JH. Published January 9th, 2012 at 2:10am. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.