NAM Model showing high pressure built in over the area this week.

Surface high pressure will remain wedged over our forecast area through Wednesday so it's safe to say that Tuesday should be a fabulous day. The dry weather and plentiful sun will almost make the weather a non-factor for those who are going about their typically busy Tuesday afternoon. The morning will start out chilly -- but not as chilly as the past several nights -- so expect temperatures in the upper 30's and lower 40's in the early morning. By afternoon, however, warmer temperatures in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere along with plenty of sun will allow for temperatures to rise to well over 60 degrees throughout most of the area. West winds should still be noticeable, but not breezy, around 5 to 10 miles per hour. By the later afternoon, temperatures will fall off (quicker than usual, now, with an earlier afternoon sunset) and drop once again into the  40's. However, Tuesday Night will be a few degrees warmer than the past several nights, a trend which will be becoming more noticeable as the week goes on. The airmass, after all, is modifying over the region as it is losing it's Canadian cold air source as it settles near our area.

The week ahead looks to feature moderating temperatures through Wednesday, before a cold front nears our area on Thursday. We aren't expecting heavy precipitation with this front--in fact it may be very spotty. Behind the front, a new and fresh cold airmass will move in for the weekend...with low and high temperatures probably averaging slightly below seasonal normals.

THE FORECAST...

Today (Tuesday): Sunny, with highs in the mid 60's. Light west winds around 5 to 10 miles per hour. Feeling warmer than the past several days---beautifully comfortable outside.

Tonight: Clear, lows in the mid to upper 40's in the city and upper 30's to mid 40's inland. Light west winds. Temperatures feeling a bit warmer than the past several nights.

Wednesday: Sunny, with highs in the mid 60's. Absolutely terrific autumn day---winds will be light from the southwest. Some clouds building by evening.

Article written by JH. Published November 6th, 2011 at 10:26pm. Updated November 7th, 2011 at 11:05pm. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the upcoming work week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.