A low pressure system developing near the area has become the focal point for very heavy rain, which continues to affect the area this Sunday morning. Through 800am, prolific rainfall amounts were already recorded throughout much of the forecast area. Kennedy Airport recorded 5.61 inches of rainfall, LaGuardia airport recorded 3.88 inches of rainfall, Newark airport recorded 3.27 inches of rainfall, and Central Park recorded 3.20 inches of rainfall. With the rain continuing over the next several hours, these rainfall totals could become quite prolific throughout the remainder of the day. Please remember that flooding is a serious severe weather event. The National Weather Service has issued Flash Flood Warnings for a vast majority of the forecast area including much of New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania. Featured video: Severe Weather Briefing from August 14th, 2011, issued by New York Metro Weather's forecasting team.
Forecast in Detail: The rain will continue through the remainder of today, without many serious breaks in the action. The low pressure system is forecast to consolidate off the coast, likely leading to a well developed area of moderate precipitation expanding over the area. While the area has not had the luxury of a normal precipitation summer (many areas below normal through today), these type of rain events are almost always a problem, especially as flooding potential develops as the rain continues for extended periods of time. Plus, the weekend timing is less than ideal.
Monday should feature, at least to start, more of the same although the showers could become a bit more spotty over Long Island. The rain could continue over New Jersey and New York through the mid to late afternoon. After that, model guidance begins to wrap up the event with precipitation ending from southwest to northeast.
A Look Ahead: The middle to end of the week looks to offer a return to more pleasant weather, with high temperatures averaging near normal on Tuesday and Wednesday, and only a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm. The next chance of precipitation looks to come on Friday with the passage of a cold front.
Article written August 14th, 2011 at 11:10am. Updated at 1:53pm to include severe weather briefing video. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the weekend into next week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.
Forecast in Detail: The rain will continue through the remainder of today, without many serious breaks in the action. The low pressure system is forecast to consolidate off the coast, likely leading to a well developed area of moderate precipitation expanding over the area. While the area has not had the luxury of a normal precipitation summer (many areas below normal through today), these type of rain events are almost always a problem, especially as flooding potential develops as the rain continues for extended periods of time. Plus, the weekend timing is less than ideal.
Monday should feature, at least to start, more of the same although the showers could become a bit more spotty over Long Island. The rain could continue over New Jersey and New York through the mid to late afternoon. After that, model guidance begins to wrap up the event with precipitation ending from southwest to northeast.
A Look Ahead: The middle to end of the week looks to offer a return to more pleasant weather, with high temperatures averaging near normal on Tuesday and Wednesday, and only a slight chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm. The next chance of precipitation looks to come on Friday with the passage of a cold front.
Article written August 14th, 2011 at 11:10am. Updated at 1:53pm to include severe weather briefing video. Looking for a forecast? See New York Metro Weather's Long Range Forecast for the weekend into next week, or view our Technical Forecast Discussion for the more serious weather enthusiasts. Also, check out our new Forecast Overview tab. For up to the minute details on forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts, follow us on Twitter and Facebook.
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