Over the next several hours and days, we will provide constant, live coverage and updates as Hurricane Earl, currently a dangerous Category 3 hurricane, approaches the east coast of the United States and potentially impacts the New York Metro area. Stay tuned throughout the upcoming days for premium images, information, and up to the minute model and forecast data updates from the New York Metro Weather Blog team.


9/1 2:24pm
Earl's satellite presentation remains impressive as the storm continues to move on a northwest heading at this hour. The National Hurricane Center's latest intermediate advisory details 125mph sustained winds within the storm. The forecast track still takes the system east of the area although rain and tide impacts still remain a legitimate concern along the immediate shores. This afternoon's forecast guidance has, for the most part, held steady, although some guidance has shifted to the west with the track of the system. Intricate details will continue to be resolved over the course of the upcoming hours and days as the storm system continues to progress northwestward. In addition, extra sampling of the shortwave trough over the Great Lakes, which will eventually serve as an important piece of the puzzle, kicking earl northeast, should help model data ingestion for this afternoon and evening.

9/1 2:35pm
The 12z ECMWF still brings Earl directly over--or arguably a hair northwest-- of the 40/70 benchmark. Eastern Long Island and Southern New England recieve upwards of 3" of rain from the system..which also comes extremely close to landfall on the far outer banks of the Carolinas at 42 hours.




The National Hurricane Center has issued Tropical Storm Warnings up and down the area shoreline and coastal locations. Please visit this link for immediate safety and preparedness information

9/2 3:30pm
The Center of Category 3 Hurricane Earl continues trekking North-Northwest towards the outskirts of the Outer Banks and is expected to turn Northeast over the next few hours. The image to the left shows the extent of the hurricane's wind field at this hour. The storm is undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle at this time, hence the weakening of the greater sustained winds but broadening of the tropical storm and hurricane force wind area. This will be important as the storm tracks northward and makes its pass to the east of the mid atlantic and northeast states. There have been no changes to the orientation of the tropical storm watches and warnings along the coast as of yet.