...SHORT TERM...

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN FORECAST FROM NWS AND OUR BLOG..SAME GENERAL FORECAST OUT TO 24 HOURS WITH MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS TOMORROW, AND MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT.

...MEDIUM TO LONG TERM...

ITS HERE THAT THE FORECAST BECOMES ALOT MORE COMPLICATED. AREA WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING OR SO WHEN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH AREA FROM SW. PRECIP MAY START AS SNOW WITH OVERUNNING SITUATION AND AS IT BECOMES HEAVIER, MODELS HINTING AT A CHANGE TO RAIN...HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS EXTREMELY LOW AT THIS POINT AS THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW AND EXACT POSITION OF THE TROUGH WILL DECIDE THE PRECIP TYPE. MODELS DIFFER IN PRECIP AMOUNT AND INTENSITY, THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS EXTREMELY LOW. AFTERWARDS, THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A LARGE BLOCKING MECHANISIM, EVENTUALLY SETTING UP A POSSIBILITY FOR A LARGER WINTER STORM DOWN THE ROAD.

NOTES:

FORECAST CONFIDENCE- LOW
OTHER NOTES: DISCUSSION SPECIFICLY REGARDING THE SNOWSTORM WILL BE ISSUED EARLY TOMORROW OR TOMORROW AFTERNOON



...Dan